MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8632e43c921eaebd3a105b6aac2a2e5aed0caef1ce5b68e2a6ac88b1c63dd6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 2,756$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 63c | 1,247$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 56c | 1,147$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.48 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 56c | 1,008$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.84 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 615.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 58c | 420.59$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 354.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 61c | 332.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 318$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Under | 73c | 221.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 194.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 122.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 120.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 102.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 99.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Over | 67c | 87.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 56c | 81.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 32c | 69.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 55c | 68.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 40c | 67.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 56c | 67.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 35c | 64.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 35c | 64.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 35c | 64.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Over | 30c | 37.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 46c | 36.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 35c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 35c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 29.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 51c | 22.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 47c | 22.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 52c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.