TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96de…6633

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$11.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Ryan Colbybacked Ryan Colby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$16.72
ITF Sumter: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Cadence Bracebacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+400%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kentbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$16.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.