Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x353b9dfef06e3d9abc1607d1cef8f385de7ea563b3ccf64818f77e1112d8efeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadence Braceof Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 52c | 806$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 52c | 614.12$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cadence Brace | 48c | 608.6$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cadence Brace | 48c | 539.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Cadence Brace | 53c | 396.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 5c | 235$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 5c | 209.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Cadence Brace | 48c | 153.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cadence Brace | 44c | 145.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 16c | 117.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 57c | 103.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cadence Brace | 42c | 87.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 55c | 48.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 55c | 47.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Cadence Brace | 48c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…6633backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 57c | 31.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Cadence Brace | 46c | 31.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cadence Brace | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cadence Brace | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Cadence Brace | 63c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 55c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.