Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Ryan Colby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7352fff0616aca0314229e8e6ab196c02cea154dd27697ffeeeddc04e94aabf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavle Marinkovof Pavle Marinkov, Ryan Colby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Pavle Marinkov | 49c | 1,434$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.26 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ryan Colby | 46c | 1,135$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Pavle Marinkov | 34c | 781.91$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.06 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ryan Colby | 19c | 781.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pavle Marinkov | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Pavle Marinkov | 33c | 593.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Pavle Marinkov | 51c | 588.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Pavle Marinkov | 56c | 413.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Pavle Marinkov | 39c | 201$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ryan Colby | 52c | 183.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ryan Colby | 56c | 180.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Ryan Colby | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…7469backed Pavle Marinkov | 55c | 160.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Ryan Colby | 52c | 152.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Pavle Marinkov | 56c | 150.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pavle Marinkov | 44c | 140.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pavle Marinkov | 33c | 125.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pavle Marinkov | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pavle Marinkov | 56c | 107.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ryan Colby | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pavle Marinkov | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Pavle Marinkov | 54c | 102.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Ryan Colby | 44c | 101.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ryan Colby | 49c | 80.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Pavle Marinkov | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryan Colby | 44c | 77.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ryan Colby | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Pavle Marinkov | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pavle Marinkov | 51c | 57.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Pavle Marinkov | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pavle Marinkov | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…2aefbacked Pavle Marinkov | 42c | 47.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pavle Marinkov | 51c | 45.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…6633backed Ryan Colby | 53c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ryan Colby | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Pavle Marinkov | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.