CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de67754f4bdd8bd0fe992e670c348137f1b8c27f50b58002847c2ffd97b1731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM ORUGAof ShindeN, TEAM ORUGA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked ShindeN | 58c | 7,056$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.66 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked TEAM ORUGA | 39c | 5,500$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.96 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked TEAM ORUGA | 41c | 4,857$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TEAM ORUGA | 39c | 2,591$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.19 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ShindeN | 30c | 2,474$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked TEAM ORUGA | 37c | 1,620$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.28 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ShindeN | 64c | 1,300$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.99 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ShindeN | 62c | 1,022$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…ad1dbacked ShindeN | 12c | 913.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 61c | 814.67$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked ShindeN | 6c | 763$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…359abacked ShindeN | 45c | 735.09$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed ShindeN | 56c | 599.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ShindeN | 54c | 598$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.24 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed ShindeN | 54c | 546$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ShindeN | 65c | 526.59$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed TEAM ORUGA | 37c | 499$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.87 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed ShindeN | 63c | 479.54$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked ShindeN | 59c | 477.76$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed ShindeN | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ShindeN | 56c | 407.32$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed ShindeN | 66c | 383.58$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…114cbacked ShindeN | 69c | 313.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed ShindeN | 65c | 300.1$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ShindeN | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked ShindeN | 34c | 276.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked TEAM ORUGA | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…ecc8backed TEAM ORUGA | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed ShindeN | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…5edfbacked ShindeN | 58c | 178$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed TEAM ORUGA | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed ShindeN | 49c | 158.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked ShindeN | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked TEAM ORUGA | 37c | 154.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked TEAM ORUGA | 48c | 152.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked TEAM ORUGA | 45c | 143.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked TEAM ORUGA | 36c | 143.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ShindeN | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed ShindeN | 63c | 111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked ShindeN | 51c | 105.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed TEAM ORUGA | 35c | 104.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked TEAM ORUGA | 45c | 100.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked TEAM ORUGA | 33c | 100.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…8b48backed ShindeN | 69c | 92.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked TEAM ORUGA | 36c | 71.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed TEAM ORUGA | 23c | 70.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed TEAM ORUGA | 34c | 58.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…5aa6backed TEAM ORUGA | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda05…255dbacked TEAM ORUGA | 35c | 50.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed ShindeN | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ShindeN | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed TEAM ORUGA | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed TEAM ORUGA | 47c | 49.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ShindeN | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…3b6dbacked TEAM ORUGA | 28c | 41.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…35b8backed ShindeN | 72c | 39.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed TEAM ORUGA | 32c | 38.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed TEAM ORUGA | 32c | 36.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ShindeN | 66c | 30.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed ShindeN | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…3f89backed TEAM ORUGA | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 60c | 19.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 2 WinnerTEAM ORUGA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.