Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8235e73f346ece50eb7d9f0c1710b5479e1614faf11379a00677961d2f6bfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 3,374$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 79c | 2,939$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.15 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 2,185$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.59 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 2,091$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.44 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 2,049$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,853$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.27 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,702$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.07 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,615$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.66 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,267$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid | 69c | 995.27$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 931.46$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 919.22$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 911.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 471 | 50.7%239 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 778.34$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 720.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 64c | 594.02$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 544.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Liquid | 74c | 532.93$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 495.74$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…ae41backed Team Liquid | 68c | 490.4$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 487.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 469.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 461.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 443.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 345.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Team Liquid | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 298.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Team Liquid | 67c | 293.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 250.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Team Liquid | 64c | 246.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 245.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Liquid | 69c | 201.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 191.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…df7ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 168.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 348 | 31.3%109 W · 239 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 167.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 165.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 157.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Liquid | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 144.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 140.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 104.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 94.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 93.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Team Liquid | 67c | 93.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 88.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 64.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 475 | 57.7%274 W · 201 L | -27.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 48.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…d29cbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 47.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Team Liquid | 79c | 45.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Team Liquid | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 42.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…22c9backed Team Liquid | 77c | 38.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Liquid | 64c | 37.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…78bdbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 34.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 648 | 46.5%301 W · 347 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 27.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 707 | 44.1%312 W · 395 L | -22.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 212 | 67%142 W · 70 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed Team Liquid | 67c | 24.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 22.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 133 | 72.2%96 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.