TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion25c2,050$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.53,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion18c1,711$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Shopify Rebellion9c1,490$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5867931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team Liquid75c1,459$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7851044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion26c1,450$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.992,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion20c1,268$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.411,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Shopify Rebellion8c1,136$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.226410.9%7 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion26c1,067$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1335243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid77c1,061$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0676953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Shopify Rebellion24c1,002$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5132542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Shopify Rebellion25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed Shopify Rebellion5c818.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.481097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion25c817.81$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6396250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion24c721.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.881,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid74c698.92$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.721,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed Team Liquid75c673.75$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.951070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion10c664.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.162,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid75c656.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.171,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Team Liquid75c656.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.172166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Team Liquid76c648.01$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.26566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion10c576$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.645937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Shopify Rebellion5c501.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Shopify Rebellion27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13517431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid76c499.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Shopify Rebellion8c469.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.586230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion24c467.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.312,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaed8…7095backed Shopify Rebellion27c430.29$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion11c427.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Shopify Rebellion25c406.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.676746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Shopify Rebellion27c391.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7813933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec56…6d0abacked Shopify Rebellion26c350.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Team Liquid74c343.09$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.21,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Team Liquid73c319.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.198767.8%59 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d84…2a04backed Team Liquid77c312.42$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.824365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Team Liquid72c310.71$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873850%19 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x839f…748abacked Team Liquid75c310.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Shopify Rebellion19c299.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.868743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Shopify Rebellion28c287.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.378434.5%29 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2e…bdfebacked Shopify Rebellion4c266$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Shopify Rebellion23c250.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.698045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Team Liquid75c250.06$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5115759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion25c229.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.375630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid75c216.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1796054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed Shopify Rebellion11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222932.3%74 W · 155 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Team Liquid74c199.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8815747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Team Liquid75c197$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2582650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8112…4129backed Team Liquid78c196.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3413065.4%85 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Team Liquid74c196.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1916555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Team Liquid76c186.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9611563.5%73 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ca…b702backed Shopify Rebellion7c182.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.575414.8%8 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Shopify Rebellion30c168.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0120445.1%92 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid74c148.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5342941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid74c141.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.899338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65d…1933backed Team Liquid77c139.86$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5a…ff90backed Team Liquid74c137.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.836262.9%39 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Team Liquid77c125.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.925151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion24c120.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.891,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9712…9057backed Team Liquid74c118.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.712552%13 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Team Liquid74c111.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0925960.2%156 W · 103 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion25c108.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Team Liquid76c103.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Shopify Rebellion27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.517739%69 W · 108 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd636…015cbacked Shopify Rebellion10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2640145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Liquid74c87.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8365063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion18c84.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Shopify Rebellion24c77.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6349514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Shopify Rebellion24c77.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7518542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Shopify Rebellion17c77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2741651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x136b…7d46backed Shopify Rebellion14c74.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed Team Liquid77c68.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4112054.2%65 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Team Liquid75c54.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5444062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Liquid75c50.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.759966.7%66 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Liquid73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9232371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid76c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3442847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…dfc9backed Team Liquid74c37.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.792634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Team Liquid75c37.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3615166.2%100 W · 51 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Team Liquid77c33.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8123559.6%140 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68d…810cbacked Team Liquid80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…dd7abacked Team Liquid80c28.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Team Liquid72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6549366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Team Liquid78c24.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4314360.8%87 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x301f…2ddfbacked Team Liquid77c24.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11fe…8696backed Team Liquid75c20.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…357bbacked Team Liquid75c17.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.487859%46 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…2522backed Team Liquid75c17.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.278856.8%50 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.