Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635f5f67cacea1296ba25b9d059426349fb9d6a0c9d94cf659858195ad31bc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 29,338$10,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,353.23 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 5,822$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.21 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 4,956$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.27 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 4,090$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.21 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 3,600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,779$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.29 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,655$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.36 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,606$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.34 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…895dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,419$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.99 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Liquid | 68c | 2,359$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.8 | 484 | 49.8%241 W · 243 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 2,219$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 2,096$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.28 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,976$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 78cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,964$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.62 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,962$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.96 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,623$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,578$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.32 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 1,508$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.88 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 1,165$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.38 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,107$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,104$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,060$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.54 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,045$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 1,042$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,033$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,013$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 846.23$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Team Liquid | 65c | 816.43$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Team Liquid | 67c | 688.35$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 668.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 661.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 651.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 610$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 605.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 71c | 581.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 498.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…d67abacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 493.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Team Liquid | 63c | 391.12$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 377.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Team Liquid | 66c | 339.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 315.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 314.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Team Liquid | 66c | 298.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 376 | 62%233 W · 143 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 293.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 79c | 268.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 251.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Team Liquid | 71c | 249.89$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Team Liquid | 70c | 238.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 67c | 228.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Team Liquid | 70c | 228.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Liquid | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 463 | 39.5%183 W · 280 L | -37.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…ae41backed Team Liquid | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 181.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 70c | 167.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Team Liquid | 72c | 167.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 156.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Team Liquid | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Liquid | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 154.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 150.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 148.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 148.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 147.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 63c | 143.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 608 | 47.9%291 W · 317 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…c918backed Team Liquid | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…428abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 114.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 707 | 44.1%312 W · 395 L | -22.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 111.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…deb1backed Team Liquid | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 109.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 107.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 102.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed Team Liquid | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 99.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 411 | 46.5%191 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Liquid | 70c | 94.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 94.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Liquid | 65c | 89.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 83.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 79.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed Team Liquid | 70c | 77.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked Team Liquid | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 75c | 65.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 404 | 64.4%260 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…7d46backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 65.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…2895backed Team Liquid | 79c | 62.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 59.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 70c | 50.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Team Liquid | 69c | 45.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.