TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x800b…ee91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT8949.4%44 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+338.6%+$123.52
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.91
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.47
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.76
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.95
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$32.61
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$23.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.17
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$83.97
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.31
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68.54
LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.81
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.32
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$34.53
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$85.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the fight end in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$211.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.