Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc5ba9f12953bb1a4e4afda2cca714d3d7396a5c6ec84b2df7ad31d7025a281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Disguised, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Disguised | 19c | 11,172$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.63 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Disguised | 22c | 9,637$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.52 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 23c | 6,781$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.69 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 79c | 5,394$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud9 | 79c | 3,662$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.77 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Cloud9 | 75c | 3,346$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.51 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cloud9 | 76c | 2,555$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.2 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9 | 77c | 2,306$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.9 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Cloud9 | 77c | 2,239$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed Cloud9 | 77c | 2,211$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 2,146$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Cloud9 | 79c | 2,084$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Disguised | 23c | 2,073$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.9 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 23c | 1,908$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 1,836$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.74 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…e686backed Cloud9 | 78c | 1,682$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 24c | 1,600$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Cloud9 | 79c | 1,437$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Disguised | 5c | 1,412$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…d68ebacked Disguised | 15c | 1,289$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Disguised | 24c | 1,280$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…bf35backed Disguised | 23c | 1,238$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Cloud9 | 78c | 1,228$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud9 | 80c | 1,206$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised | 19c | 1,117$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Cloud9 | 77c | 1,105$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.19 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…fca9backed Disguised | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Disguised | 24c | 998.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.58 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 22c | 970.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 962.48$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 12c | 946.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 21c | 921.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 22c | 870.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Disguised | 23c | 813.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Disguised | 15c | 695.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Cloud9 | 79c | 592.7$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Cloud9 | 79c | 576.19$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 22c | 564$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Disguised | 8c | 540.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Cloud9 | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Disguised | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 496.68$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 22c | 476.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…f876backed Disguised | 13c | 473.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 23c | 472.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Disguised | 21c | 438.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Disguised | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Cloud9 | 80c | 383.48$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Disguised | 21c | 381.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud9 | 77c | 360$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Cloud9 | 78c | 343.47$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised | 22c | 332.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Cloud9 | 77c | 325.45$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cloud9 | 78c | 324.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Cloud9 | 79c | 319.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cloud9 | 79c | 313.32$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Disguised | 15c | 312.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Disguised | 19c | 303.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Disguised | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Cloud9 | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Cloud9 | 80c | 280.35$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 21c | 268.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf544…4f8cbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Cloud9 | 79c | 251.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Disguised | 14c | 238.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…ae41backed Cloud9 | 76c | 216.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 213.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4331…be79backed Cloud9 | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Cloud9 | 75c | 191.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Cloud9 | 79c | 187.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Disguised | 12c | 171.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Disguised | 16c | 166.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Disguised | 23c | 152.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 148.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Disguised | 22c | 142.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 24c | 137.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Cloud9 | 75c | 132.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Cloud9 | 77c | 131.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Cloud9 | 75c | 127.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Cloud9 | 78c | 121.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Cloud9 | 77c | 112.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Cloud9 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Cloud9 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Disguised | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed Disguised | 22c | 97.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Disguised | 22c | 97.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Disguised | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Disguised | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 22c | 93.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Disguised | 22c | 87.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Cloud9 | 77c | 84.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Cloud9 | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Cloud9 | 78c | 77.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Cloud9 | 77c | 74.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cloud9 | 80c | 70.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cloud9 | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Disguised won
- First Blood in Game 2?Cloud9 won
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.