TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Disguised, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd812…2558backed Disguised22c9,894$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.5921137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Cloud978c8,923$6,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.7167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised1c5,339$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Disguised3c5,332$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8867553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Disguised17c4,753$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.3118554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud978c3,784$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.622,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised8c2,799$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9589943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Cloud977c2,497$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3227957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Disguised23c1,932$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.361,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Disguised14c1,743$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.032,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Disguised19c1,684$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3634536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Disguised24c1,559$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.691,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised20c1,475$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.571,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Disguised22c1,395$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0112349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised17c1,214$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.561,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Disguised27c1,101$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0624147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Disguised22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised11c916.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.512,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Cloud975c914.39$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.716555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Cloud975c886.5$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Disguised10c876.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.532,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Cloud976c864.54$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.498458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Disguised9c831.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.063,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised18c792.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Disguised5c742.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised13c714.43$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud975c689.5$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.371,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Disguised14c683.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8379151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Cloud973c655.88$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.081,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Disguised12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Cloud977c595.82$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised23c590.28$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8396250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Cloud978c584.28$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7810760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a22…fca9backed Disguised10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021443.9%94 W · 120 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed Disguised22c498.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6226062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fb…263abacked Disguised15c440.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.524630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised12c337.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.552,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Cloud975c308.02$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Cloud978c279.35$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Cloud975c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked Cloud975c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6710850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Disguised15c246.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0121749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Cloud975c246.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5662150.6%314 W · 307 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised13c217.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.282,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Disguised11c208.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2482044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Disguised17c202.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3433042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Disguised18c183.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4416240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…f876backed Cloud980c180.06$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.015040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Disguised19c162$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3258420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Disguised11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8869644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised11c146.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0943138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Disguised16c134.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.077750.6%39 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Disguised17c129.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Disguised9c128.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Disguised18c118.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7442250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x147e…285bbacked Cloud974c112.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Disguised12c105.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b48…73e2backed Disguised14c104.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.282441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Cloud978c101.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0919161.3%117 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Disguised11c100.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5756317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Disguised15c99.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Disguised27c97.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…231fbacked Disguised17c95.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Disguised22c81.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.236443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cloud979c77.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5114…fc31backed Disguised27c73.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.234052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59eb…7d85backed Cloud974c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Disguised26c65.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9886144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Cloud978c63.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8918359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Disguised17c60.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Disguised26c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828633.7%29 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Cloud977c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1964749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Cloud975c52.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x337e…9b4ebacked Cloud978c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1132554.8%178 W · 147 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cloud973c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Cloud976c49.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8344062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Cloud977c44.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3179864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud977c42.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Cloud978c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4815356.9%87 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207d…e599backed Cloud975c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.924654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Cloud974c17.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4936047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.