TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4331…be79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT6374.6%47 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.84
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.57
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$18.08
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.8
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.2
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$12.49
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.69
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$9.57
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.08
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$9.38
Shymkent: Mili Poljicak vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Oeiras 4: Fiona Ferro vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.