TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof BNK FEARX, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX24c25,052$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.5155955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed BNK FEARX27c22,863$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,115.9627735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed BNK FEARX27c20,123$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.9716254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX26c19,458$5,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,007.571,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA74c18,000$13,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.664155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX18c17,061$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.3325952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe4…e7b2backed Dplus KIA73c13,900$10,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7535750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA76c13,200$10,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,16854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Dplus KIA74c11,250$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9001,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed BNK FEARX25c10,074$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.5925143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Dplus KIA76c10,009$7,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.1439964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Dplus KIA76c10,008$7,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.8254756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dplus KIA75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Dplus KIA74c8,250$6,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed BNK FEARX4c6,800$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Dplus KIA74c6,655$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.218558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA75c5,128$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2821,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Dplus KIA72c5,001$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.2930845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed BNK FEARX26c4,107$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.7663546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Dplus KIA75c3,997$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.5652065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed BNK FEARX22c3,883$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.7235431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dplus KIA73c3,649$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.81,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BNK FEARX19c3,359$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4226549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Dplus KIA76c3,000$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BNK FEARX3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BNK FEARX24c2,810$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4957947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf2…e270backed BNK FEARX29c2,674$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.492030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Dplus KIA73c2,597$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Dplus KIA74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65011243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BNK FEARX25c2,471$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.7585836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed BNK FEARX25c2,346$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1524029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA75c2,146$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.731,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8a…3675backed BNK FEARX24c2,076$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX27c2,046$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.022,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX24c2,016$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.613,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BNK FEARX24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48030321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.797869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dplus KIA73c1,912$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.2467250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed BNK FEARX6c1,851$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11043539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dplus KIA77c1,803$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.131,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX25c1,800$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0140435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Dplus KIA77c1,776$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1269539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Dplus KIA75c1,650$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.545366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dplus KIA76c1,608$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6182…10c8backed BNK FEARX23c1,605$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Dplus KIA73c1,600$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Dplus KIA74c1,598$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5989347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Dplus KIA74c1,557$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7613971.2%99 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Dplus KIA75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37551160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Dplus KIA75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37521954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed BNK FEARX21c1,451$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed BNK FEARX2c1,377$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.541242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked BNK FEARX7c1,340$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.49738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Dplus KIA76c1,334$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.168746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dplus KIA76c1,312$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX13c1,304$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.171,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Dplus KIA74c1,250$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked BNK FEARX23c1,220$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.427338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed BNK FEARX25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011060.9%67 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX3c1,200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dplus KIA76c1,168$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.831,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed Dplus KIA76c1,150$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27619559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Dplus KIA74c1,089$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.411,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed BNK FEARX10c1,072$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.218442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed BNK FEARX28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed BNK FEARX26c1,060$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.69533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BNK FEARX19c1,048$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7475630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX21c1,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BNK FEARX25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked BNK FEARX26c1,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25532036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX29c972.33$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.971,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed BNK FEARX28c964.28$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA77c840.83$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.272,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…8052backed BNK FEARX25c840$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b7…768cbacked BNK FEARX6c819.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.822355.6%124 W · 99 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Dplus KIA76c819$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6385442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dplus KIA79c805.66$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked BNK FEARX25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Dplus KIA76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4716761.1%102 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed BNK FEARX24c780.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3756432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed BNK FEARX26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d54…7b7bbacked BNK FEARX26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed BNK FEARX18c768.88$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2158046.9%272 W · 308 L-2.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Dplus KIA75c767.24$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.815853.4%31 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Dplus KIA72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BNK FEARX6c749.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX28c749.45$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5886144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed BNK FEARX25c744.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.224147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed BNK FEARX25c740.74$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1962158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked BNK FEARX22c730.95$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.576640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed Dplus KIA77c730$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.96033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed BNK FEARX5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Dplus KIA75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Dplus KIA76c696.9$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.261,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed Dplus KIA77c662.61$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6125259.1%149 W · 103 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed BNK FEARX4c660.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Dplus KIA78c654.83$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8319759.4%117 W · 80 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Dplus KIA77c650$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.571057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.