TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof BNK FEARX, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$698,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX23c30,900$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,096.0855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX13c23,517$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.541,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked BNK FEARX24c20,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.998444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX9c16,314$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.221,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX24c13,109$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.921,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed BNK FEARX30c13,050$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.7427353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Dplus KIA72c11,603$8,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.231,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA76c10,056$7,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.3854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Dplus KIA77c10,009$7,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.0539964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb1…204dbacked BNK FEARX1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…4d1fbacked BNK FEARX27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Dplus KIA73c9,348$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.3942941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Dplus KIA77c9,236$7,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.3496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Dplus KIA77c8,722$6,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.6325952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Dplus KIA74c8,000$5,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed BNK FEARX1c8,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…e7b2backed Dplus KIA67c8,000$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.995750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BNK FEARX24c6,600$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61432440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Dplus KIA68c6,115$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.0153355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX10c6,088$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.787869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked BNK FEARX24c6,080$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.231328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dplus KIA75c4,609$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.71,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed BNK FEARX18c4,576$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.0318442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Dplus KIA76c3,366$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Dplus KIA71c3,333$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.5751146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX29c3,173$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.261,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BNK FEARX26c3,000$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.8989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Dplus KIA76c2,711$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.521,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dplus KIA73c2,611$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dplus KIA76c2,349$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.7667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed BNK FEARX32c2,340$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.0716346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed Dplus KIA78c2,235$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3519559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Dplus KIA77c2,213$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.129846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX25c2,209$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2740435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed BNK FEARX20c2,140$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42811243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed BNK FEARX25c2,119$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3524029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Dplus KIA75c2,100$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.343066.7%20 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Dplus KIA76c2,098$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.0938462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked BNK FEARX15c2,014$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5217840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Dplus KIA77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Dplus KIA67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Dplus KIA66c1,950$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.499053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb456…4347backed Dplus KIA75c1,900$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Dplus KIA76c1,835$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.921,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed BNK FEARX17c1,660$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1258046.9%272 W · 308 L-2.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed BNK FEARX24c1,643$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.328746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BNK FEARX28c1,584$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6182…10c8backed BNK FEARX15c1,510$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Dplus KIA75c1,505$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2539851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621.6%1 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514628.8%42 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151095.5%6 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dplus KIA76c1,409$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.231,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BNK FEARX16c1,408$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.671,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Dplus KIA75c1,336$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3437161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed BNK FEARX25c1,324$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9914336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Dplus KIA77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.752065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BNK FEARX24c1,265$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Dplus KIA69c1,253$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1317150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed BNK FEARX8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BNK FEARX29c1,221$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1544451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA70c1,184$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.272,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Dplus KIA76c1,160$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.451160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…f22ebacked Dplus KIA76c1,150$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.32763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Dplus KIA80c1,108$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.281650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Dplus KIA75c1,100$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.671,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee1…6a80backed Dplus KIA76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked BNK FEARX28c1,064$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019151.8%99 W · 92 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf2…e270backed BNK FEARX29c1,049$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed BNK FEARX28c1,005$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9425074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23047047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4431…f851backed BNK FEARX25c1,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked BNK FEARX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed BNK FEARX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed BNK FEARX25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX19c989.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.331,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Dplus KIA71c982.47$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4742847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA75c962.99$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.621,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e7…0b82backed BNK FEARX26c950.08$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Dplus KIA79c949.37$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3716761.1%102 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Dplus KIA75c945.91$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9621954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX26c942.4$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.832,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked BNK FEARX28c929.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4832036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BNK FEARX23c918.33$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6176142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…4ce8backed BNK FEARX29c912.2$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX35c900$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.382,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Dplus KIA75c883.37$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8419041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dplus KIA77c874.78$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed BNK FEARX30c861.71$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26156432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed BNK FEARX28c839.53$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23546257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX21c825.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.551,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked BNK FEARX25c817.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3413537%50 W · 85 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX4c800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b6…d37dbacked Dplus KIA76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed BNK FEARX25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011060.9%67 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.