Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef73d44ad310283e21b18802555a47c299d96f7e49b398a5238ff50b8fd71928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 68c | 2,347$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.76 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 33c | 989.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 31c | 968$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 32c | 715.27$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 68c | 693$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 33c | 599.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 33c | 538.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 32c | 366.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 32c | 327.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 67c | 319.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 67c | 319.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Under | 67c | 312.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 33c | 310.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Under | 67c | 216.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 31c | 208.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 67c | 204.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 37c | 178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 165.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 66c | 151.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…920ebacked Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2843backed Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 68c | 103.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Over | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 67c | 96.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b7…4bb3backed Over | 35c | 84.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 36c | 79.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 67c | 74.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 32c | 55.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 64c | 52.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 36c | 51.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…f8a1backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…4eb3backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 32c | 37.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…b0a7backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 67c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Under | 67c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.