TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Hereticsof Karmine Corp, Team Heretics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Karmine Corp57c9,742$5,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,552.366150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics43c9,279$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.2954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp49c1,985$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.7416952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics52c1,844$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp10c1,539$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3830147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Karmine Corp11c1,454$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.079041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics52c1,250$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.0232047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Team Heretics45c1,077$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Heretics52c1,072$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.68347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Karmine Corp47c1,055$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.726637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp5c1,054$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Karmine Corp52c1,044$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.915342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics48c745.49$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp36c698.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5939166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp55c692.91$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.13548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Karmine Corp52c652.12$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6214152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f73…1b52backed Team Heretics47c512.25$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23515553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics46c496.95$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9456357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Karmine Corp48c466.3$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Karmine Corp42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0414645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Karmine Corp56c433.59$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.422050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcb…3a30backed Karmine Corp40c415.07$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.872445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Karmine Corp39c385.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Karmine Corp56c336.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3121144.1%93 W · 118 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics63c329.24$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8853355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed Karmine Corp52c302.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.962850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…2493backed Karmine Corp53c276.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Heretics46c269.15$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1226051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp26c264.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Karmine Corp53c251.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2843059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Heretics71c225.72$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.466747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Karmine Corp44c224.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.669654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Karmine Corp52c210.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.97456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Heretics45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11023644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics50c190.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1e…9d4cbacked Karmine Corp13c158.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c45…7069backed Karmine Corp33c146.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.196969.6%48 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Karmine Corp54c132.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp22c130.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp25c114.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.357517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Karmine Corp52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2762856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Karmine Corp32c107.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.534231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics58c107.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Karmine Corp53c104.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics46c89.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7cd…6fbabacked Karmine Corp41c86.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Karmine Corp52c84.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.75561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Team Heretics53c83.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.244065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Karmine Corp48c82.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Karmine Corp23c79.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4331…be79backed Karmine Corp56c78.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics67c73.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics45c71.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Karmine Corp21c69.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.296053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Heretics62c67.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71db…35c1backed Team Heretics52c66.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Team Heretics47c65.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.842564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecd5…57ffbacked Team Heretics53c64.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Karmine Corp32c58.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.086418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa1…71a1backed Team Heretics45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59eb…7d85backed Karmine Corp55c53.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.191668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6f…3231backed Karmine Corp55c50.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.932860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Team Heretics45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Team Heretics51c47.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.168050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Karmine Corp47c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6226730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7282…f40bbacked Team Heretics53c45.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6b…6054backed Team Heretics53c45.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed Team Heretics79c41.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.643100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Karmine Corp38c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Team Heretics48c39.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.445651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…d047backed Team Heretics56c38.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3641…93b4backed Team Heretics53c36.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Team Heretics52c34.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Heretics47c33.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Team Heretics46c31.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp34c31.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Karmine Corp34c29.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0835331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d15…556cbacked Team Heretics52c26.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e2…110fbacked Team Heretics53c25.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Heretics53c25.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.815952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Team Heretics52c24.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.656759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…f4f7backed Team Heretics50c24.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Team Heretics74c23.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1411100%11 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked Team Heretics48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb10…a3a2backed Team Heretics64c18.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.