Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a52ff0e4b093b6a35749135279c5a7698a41406d8c61fb598a457ceac21738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Heretics | 33c | 1,606$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,598$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.24 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Heretics | 30c | 451.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 29c | 374.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 236.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 157.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Heretics | 33c | 128.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 106.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Heretics | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 81.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 80.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 66.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Team Heretics | 33c | 37.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.