Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa3591b374a47b08f0b89e670c2425a4e26bff88a16de43578b3ff7db484f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Team Vitality | 35c | 11,237$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,251.82 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed GIANTX | 65c | 2,913$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.29 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX | 63c | 2,562$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.96 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX | 67c | 1,793$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.51 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked GIANTX | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Team Vitality | 35c | 1,490$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.61 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked GIANTX | 64c | 1,066$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.94 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Team Vitality | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.73 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team Vitality | 33c | 1,009$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.79 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked GIANTX | 65c | 780.04$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.18 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 66c | 776.98$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed GIANTX | 64c | 675.1$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed GIANTX | 68c | 599.9$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX | 42c | 576.1$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Vitality | 60c | 511.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed GIANTX | 64c | 382.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GIANTX | 64c | 242.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked GIANTX | 65c | 203.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed GIANTX | 64c | 197.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed GIANTX | 63c | 135.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Team Vitality | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed GIANTX | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Team Vitality | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed GIANTX | 64c | 78.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed GIANTX | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Team Vitality | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Vitality | 41c | 58.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed GIANTX | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GIANTX | 41c | 48.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Team Vitality | 36c | 41.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GIANTX | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX | 61c | 25.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed GIANTX | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.