Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d455deb10677973eccbdcd51b855068494f34ffae059a7f7e02ef484cf95f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 53c | 4,132$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.08 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 1,525$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.83 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 1,412$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 47c | 1,332$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.42 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 1,224$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.04 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 1,069$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.27 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 47c | 595$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.65 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 575.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 422.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 355.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 52c | 326.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Over | 45c | 237.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 47c | 206.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Over | 47c | 195.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 154.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 41c | 132$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…6c60backed Over | 47c | 113.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 59c | 79.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 17c | 78.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 77c | 55.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Under | 64c | 48.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…1e77backed Over | 47c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 57c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.