Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c3f00abc292f54e348ef636b67aa32953d1688553a3ee1ab573f1649429293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Disguised | 30c | 17,910$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Disguised | 41c | 17,101$6,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,936.47 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed LYON | 70c | 16,871$11,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed LYON | 55c | 10,381$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.13 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 29c | 7,305$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.69 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked LYON | 70c | 6,143$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.86 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Disguised | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Disguised | 21c | 4,707$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.49 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Disguised | 7c | 4,011$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LYON | 64c | 3,921$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.98 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 71c | 3,832$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.32 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Disguised | 29c | 3,740$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.72 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 63c | 3,394$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.54 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 71c | 3,251$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.83 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON | 70c | 3,108$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed LYON | 59c | 2,955$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.22 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Disguised | 41c | 2,889$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.06 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked Disguised | 25c | 2,849$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised | 34c | 2,524$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.47 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 11c | 2,389$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed LYON | 68c | 2,159$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.1 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LYON | 73c | 2,116$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.93 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Disguised | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Disguised | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON | 70c | 1,750$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 28c | 1,728$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Disguised | 44c | 1,717$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.12 | 324 | 36.7%119 W · 205 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Disguised | 2c | 1,695$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Disguised | 4c | 1,618$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 30c | 1,560$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed LYON | 74c | 1,400$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed LYON | 69c | 1,335$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.26 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised | 30c | 1,177$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed LYON | 53c | 1,045$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.27 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Disguised | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON | 70c | 997.8$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Disguised | 42c | 948.72$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.73 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 2c | 941.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked LYON | 59c | 917.85$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.44 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 17c | 840$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Disguised | 26c | 836.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed LYON | 69c | 787.53$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed LYON | 71c | 736.95$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LYON | 71c | 734$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked LYON | 69c | 709.88$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed LYON | 70c | 681.12$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON | 64c | 646.3$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…3585backed Disguised | 46c | 634.43$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 17c | 617.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked LYON | 75c | 608$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed LYON | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 276 | 55.8%154 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 16c | 595.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed LYON | 69c | 569.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Disguised | 32c | 568.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed LYON | 60c | 549.97$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LYON | 61c | 505.35$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed LYON | 75c | 500.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Disguised | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised | 29c | 499.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked LYON | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…2f72backed LYON | 66c | 489.49$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Disguised | 31c | 464.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed LYON | 58c | 443.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LYON | 71c | 435.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Disguised | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 518 | 48.3%250 W · 268 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Disguised | 16c | 407.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Disguised | 12c | 390.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked Disguised | 30c | 383.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Disguised | 44c | 342.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Disguised | 29c | 327.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Disguised | 31c | 304.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Disguised | 11c | 303.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Disguised | 45c | 294.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised | 41c | 290.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Disguised | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed LYON | 69c | 285.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised | 14c | 285$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Disguised | 40c | 282.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked LYON | 70c | 280.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked LYON | 63c | 277.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed LYON | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ade0backed LYON | 69c | 264.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 25c | 251.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…d29cbacked LYON | 60c | 235.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Disguised | 32c | 235.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed LYON | 66c | 221.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON | 68c | 216.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed LYON | 57c | 199.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed LYON | 64c | 198.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked LYON | 71c | 172.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed LYON | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Disguised | 36c | 165.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Disguised | 15c | 162.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked LYON | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 831 | 49.8%414 W · 417 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed LYON | 70c | 158.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Disguised | 34c | 144.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LYON | 68c | 143.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed LYON | 67c | 143.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed LYON | 56c | 143.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.