Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da05e4026855f842eb4180829351434be3194d24e0fea41d75ffbb97a1fa4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc690…42b8backed LYON | 69c | 28,810$19,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,056.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LYON | 61c | 11,076$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.28 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed LYON | 52c | 6,670$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.1 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 25c | 6,430$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.14 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 46c | 6,059$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.32 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised | 27c | 5,918$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.36 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 65c | 5,367$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.92 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Disguised | 35c | 4,905$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.4 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Disguised | 44c | 4,082$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.07 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed Disguised | 41c | 4,025$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.26 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 44c | 2,951$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.68 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked Disguised | 26c | 2,779$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 74c | 2,777$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.49 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Disguised | 28c | 2,744$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.67 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Disguised | 1c | 2,701$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed LYON | 74c | 2,635$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.09 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 24c | 2,413$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.02 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Disguised | 62c | 2,369$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.19 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 32c | 2,001$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.29 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 36c | 1,661$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.97 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Disguised | 27c | 1,604$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.16 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Disguised | 51c | 1,527$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Disguised | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 31c | 1,400$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Disguised | 19c | 1,393$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked LYON | 42c | 1,364$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LYON | 75c | 1,343$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.87 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6b97backed Disguised | 46c | 1,302$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 26c | 1,268$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LYON | 76c | 1,183$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Disguised | 35c | 1,099$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Disguised | 37c | 1,070$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON | 74c | 1,028$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked LYON | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Disguised | 26c | 987.41$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Disguised | 28c | 956.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 25c | 947.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 48c | 909.57$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 25c | 897.23$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LYON | 38c | 884.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.92 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Disguised | 57c | 857.46$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.75 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LYON | 66c | 829.49$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Disguised | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…4203backed Disguised | 50c | 769.39$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…a13fbacked LYON | 25c | 763.77$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Disguised | 13c | 749.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Disguised | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Disguised | 15c | 666.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed LYON | 47c | 625.94$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked LYON | 74c | 616.2$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Disguised | 40c | 600.43$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Disguised | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed LYON | 14c | 585.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.34 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…3585backed Disguised | 43c | 577.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Disguised | 36c | 566.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LYON | 59c | 550.79$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed LYON | 45c | 541.69$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised | 27c | 509.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Disguised | 26c | 488.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Disguised | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed LYON | 65c | 452.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Disguised | 75c | 436.67$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ade0backed Disguised | 47c | 436.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Disguised | 54c | 435.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON | 76c | 429.21$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Disguised | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed LYON | 76c | 388.38$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked LYON | 41c | 385.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…d29cbacked Disguised | 36c | 379.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Disguised | 9c | 378.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LYON | 74c | 345.3$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed LYON | 66c | 334.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…2f72backed LYON | 44c | 328.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Disguised | 30c | 322.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Disguised | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Disguised | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed LYON | 77c | 295.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed LYON | 69c | 289.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Disguised | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Disguised | 29c | 265.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Disguised | 36c | 259.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON | 72c | 256.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked LYON | 65c | 228.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised | 38c | 227.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Disguised | 17c | 225.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Disguised | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 22c | 211.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked LYON | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Disguised | 10c | 209$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed LYON | 76c | 206.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked LYON | 78c | 205.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Disguised | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed LYON | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LYON | 74c | 199.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked LYON | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Disguised | 43c | 195.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.