Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a795daaba24cb9b47a8d9519ccf89f51895b055dcb6bac1d88cce1c6b55417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Disguised | 13c | 4,971$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.69 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LYON | 74c | 4,012$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.84 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked LYON | 72c | 3,068$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.76 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Disguised | 28c | 2,750$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.8 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Disguised | 32c | 2,464$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.66 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Disguised | 13c | 2,328$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 17c | 2,097$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Disguised | 18c | 1,997$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed Disguised | 18c | 1,888$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 28c | 1,632$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Disguised | 20c | 1,428$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 32c | 1,132$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed LYON | 80c | 1,100$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…a040backed Disguised | 1c | 999.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 19c | 868.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised | 7c | 859.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 19c | 767.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LYON | 66c | 701.82$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Disguised | 14c | 656.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LYON | 63c | 563.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 4c | 510.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Disguised | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 242 | 27.7%67 W · 175 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked LYON | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Disguised | 29c | 362$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Disguised | 19c | 356.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised | 21c | 352.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Disguised | 40c | 348.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 10c | 288.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Disguised | 17c | 287.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Disguised | 18c | 270.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Disguised | 18c | 264.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Disguised | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Disguised | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Disguised | 19c | 250.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Disguised | 11c | 249.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Disguised | 23c | 244.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Disguised | 12c | 182.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Disguised | 18c | 169.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Disguised | 13c | 157.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Disguised | 18c | 139.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed LYON | 79c | 138.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Disguised | 16c | 126.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Disguised | 18c | 121.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Disguised | 10c | 120.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 498 | 41.6%207 W · 291 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…c0f3backed Disguised | 16c | 118.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Disguised | 19c | 117.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LYON | 65c | 116.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Disguised | 31c | 111.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…b0dabacked Disguised | 11c | 108.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked LYON | 75c | 104.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Disguised | 41c | 102.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Disguised | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Disguised | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Disguised | 13c | 90.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Disguised | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Disguised | 40c | 82.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LYON | 78c | 78.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Disguised | 21c | 76.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…bb16backed Disguised | 20c | 76.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Disguised | 34c | 64.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Disguised | 18c | 57.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…6358backed Disguised | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Disguised | 33c | 49.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed LYON | 69c | 42.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed LYON | 63c | 42.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LYON | 73c | 35.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked LYON | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed LYON | 60c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked LYON | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked LYON | 70c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.