TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3323…6358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT11341.6%47 W · 66 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$31.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$58.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$37.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$68.79
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$62.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+264.1%+$46.85
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+54.6%+$17.41
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$28.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked ALIS VENTORUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.