TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c7,199$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.376,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under36c6,014$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.5119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c3,592$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over67c2,456$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.574858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Under40c1,933$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.351844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under46c1,712$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79316753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under37c1,637$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.874445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over67c1,480$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.531643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over66c766$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c682.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.991,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over64c649.4$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4211846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under37c636.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.588146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.068050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.019154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over56c517.86$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8611448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under37c511.07$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1709646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c495.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over65c480$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2813132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under38c435.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under3c423.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.192955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over63c414.81$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17230645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under48c394.35$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.961,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c393.18$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.254,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over66c379.77$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.125056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Under35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Under55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c303.91$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3813841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0317161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under20c288.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.714141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under35c287$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.458552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…9bb8backed Over66c242.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over67c225.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.376558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under33c222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2612324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under37c199.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9910354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8751…aababacked Over66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over60c166.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.548851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over63c154.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.243735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over62c153.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over49c137.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0414845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c134.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under36c133.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over66c125.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.764647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under37c117.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.651,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over48c111.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under39c104.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.128038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over62c102.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5527948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c96.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c90.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over63c88.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8918562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over66c87.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8816045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Under35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over61c82.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0517048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Over60c79.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.872030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3712250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7620864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…6bc8backed Under41c73.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over60c70.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9420143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under38c66.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.184755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Under35c65.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under37c64.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.764829.2%14 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4925057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7a9…b7b7backed Under37c58.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Over59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.377972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over53c56.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.639246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under58c54.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.361625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over50c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.012740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3323…6358backed Over65c49.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over59c46.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over54c46.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Over63c46.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under44c45.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcead…ded7backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31c…9555backed Under40c44.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under35c42.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabaa…62a5backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cac…a206backed Over63c41.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c47…87d4backed Under38c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over63c39.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.686553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.