Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a69dafe197d1ca3f930c1abd26042c2c5880e212ec057c0225709222b8c4a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 4,016$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 2,454$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 15c | 1,249$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 71c | 913.75$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 20c | 545.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 16c | 459.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 17c | 401.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 15c | 350.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 71c | 244.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 181.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Under | 22c | 180.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Under | 22c | 168.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 159.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…2918backed Under | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 77c | 66.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1179backed Over | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.