TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$527,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over44c335,678$146,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188,997.832347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c79,260$44,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,583.62,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under57c77,933$44,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,339.7619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c55,000$30,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,95035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under56c32,183$18,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,022.462857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Over43c25,631$11,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,609.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c24,550$12,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,372.056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c22,445$12,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,583.81,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over44c12,060$5,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,753.630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c11,443$5,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,916.424,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9819239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under56c9,999$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.4416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.8837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under58c5,740$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.4321049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over42c5,470$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.5811149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2804560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.995949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under43c3,056$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.615246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under67c2,718$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.2816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under68c2,226$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c2,207$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.4852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under62c2,071$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over35c2,061$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.823926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under56c1,875$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05021056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c1,798$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.8772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over75c1,300$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9330645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf1…e06bbacked Under39c1,199$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under56c1,161$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.367218.1%13 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under18c1,055$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.481,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under58c1,032$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.899154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Over43c776.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.885862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over44c775.82$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.468050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Under65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over42c706.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5935428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under57c543.23$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.096456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over75c510$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.23868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Under11c510$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29019357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…4557backed Over79c405.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over44c380.39$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.029646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42f…9bb8backed Over44c370.45$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under61c351.09$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1737342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9119826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under56c280$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under57c275$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.129053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Under47c262.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over50c261.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9419853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14081559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Under61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over41c243.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.45147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over80c241.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.382958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over44c225.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.455156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under56c225$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c224$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Under22c222.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…0509backed Over47c211.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over41c197.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.543243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over50c192.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.46462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Over77c188.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Under25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Under57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.