TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c6,222$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c5,588$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.368153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c4,376$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.24,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30072142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under76c2,187$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.127650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over66c2,132$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.8816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over55c2,100$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.162642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under78c1,679$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.231471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under76c1,582$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over44c1,358$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.328050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,321$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over23c1,249$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.7113132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.71553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over60c826.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under9c720.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.844914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe63e…525abacked Over45c670.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+146.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c606.22$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.531,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Under42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over27c530.17$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.023545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c499.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under54c440.43$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2375246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under76c420.8$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8130050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over25c399.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.659929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under78c364.33$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over44c336.48$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.483650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c314.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.481,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Over63c301.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under75c220$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over34c201$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6626548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over26c195.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4222244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over22c177.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8125057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over60c167.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.284862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Under47c164.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under50c136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.98655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over37c135.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.275147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70c…3da8backed Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb160…5185backed Over46c130.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under42c120.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.814141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c117.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4419826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1714431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0605…1634backed Under77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4914351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over64c99.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over59c99.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7842862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over23c99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.235058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c79.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.521049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bb…d8edbacked Over38c79.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over24c76.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over58c74.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1220336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over61c73.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.545244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c3…3938backed Under60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under44c62.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3989152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3225550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under71c56.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.313054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.566860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over56c52.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Under76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194173.2%30 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8320143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over33c48.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under44c46.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.153748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7831747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Under41c43.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Over38c39.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.493336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Under77c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under50c34.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2127948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fc…47eebacked Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…dbbfbacked Over58c30.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over52c27.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Under77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over59c25.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.635156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under76c25.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0613841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under67c22.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Under77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.943342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over56c20.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Under77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under77c14.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111650%8 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Under75c13.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274856.3%27 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.