Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf031371bb132bf7112037f16334c781181fa904ba2b055c294cebdbb88ac3fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Top Esports | 68c | 119,139$81,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,032.93 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 54,528$17,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,964.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…9452backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 36,596$11,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,359.6 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 27,868$9,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.78 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 23,567$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,305.69 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Top Esports | 72c | 13,853$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.79 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2c | 13,332$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Top Esports | 64c | 10,871$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.56 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports | 65c | 10,582$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.79 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Top Esports | 65c | 10,582$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.98 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Top Esports | 53c | 9,270$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.15 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 9,227$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.22 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Top Esports | 69c | 7,996$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.85 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports | 75c | 7,900$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 7,475$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.17 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Top Esports | 69c | 6,732$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.92 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Top Esports | 63c | 6,680$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.44 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 5,748$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.4 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed Top Esports | 78c | 5,709$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.63 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 5,558$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.38 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 5,386$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.02 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 26c | 5,369$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.32 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Top Esports | 59c | 5,179$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.64 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Top Esports | 69c | 4,720$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.41 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1c | 4,703$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Top Esports | 56c | 4,495$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.71 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 20c | 4,215$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.05 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 53c | 3,823$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.15 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Top Esports | 69c | 3,482$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports | 69c | 3,477$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.87 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…748ebacked Top Esports | 75c | 3,438$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.58 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Top Esports | 65c | 3,255$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.65 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…8807backed Top Esports | 65c | 3,249$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 3,190$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.62 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports | 65c | 3,134$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.95 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 3,092$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.6 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Top Esports | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports | 72c | 2,623$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Top Esports | 70c | 2,357$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.04 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 2,323$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.47 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 2,306$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.79 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Top Esports | 57c | 2,228$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.55 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 2,213$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 2,192$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.98 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 2,123$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.19 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…07a9backed Top Esports | 70c | 2,104$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Top Esports | 79c | 2,016$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.88 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Top Esports | 68c | 2,000$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 1,998$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.37 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,991$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.51 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 1,965$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.41 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,937$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.3 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Top Esports | 50c | 1,884$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.46 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 1,852$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.59 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Top Esports | 64c | 1,775$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 1,699$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.48 | 527 | 47.6%251 W · 276 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 1,614$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.27 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 1,532$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 24c | 1,519$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed Top Esports | 52c | 1,471$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.87 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 1,432$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.26 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Top Esports | 64c | 1,429$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.35 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 1,224$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.14 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,213$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.04 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Top Esports | 70c | 1,208$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.55 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Top Esports | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…ede3backed Top Esports | 63c | 1,158$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.22 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 1,103$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.63 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Top Esports | 68c | 1,100$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…43b7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 1,068$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 129 | 70.5%91 W · 38 L | +16.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 1,058$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.62 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 28c | 1,035$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 1,016$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.86 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Top Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 999.97$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4956backed Top Esports | 72c | 983.2$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…dbc6backed Top Esports | 63c | 980.42$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 51c | 973.18$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.47 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Top Esports | 52c | 957.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 19c | 951.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…bfe9backed Top Esports | 77c | 950.6$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 923.42$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.67 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Top Esports | 77c | 897.95$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.53 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 843.04$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.91 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Top Esports | 64c | 841.82$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 28c | 830.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Top Esports | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 25%36 W · 108 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 38c | 790.4$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 783.02$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…7f87backed Top Esports | 58c | 780.82$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.