Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x565208aadab309b26e802d00289f4ab4bbffac3010f7dbaebe69bfe53e2e6e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 28,033$18,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,221.25 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Top Esports | 35c | 23,778$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,455.63 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Top Esports | 34c | 14,867$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.29 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 5,508$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.54 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 3,215$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.81 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 3,124$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.18 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 1,895$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.4 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Top Esports | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.36 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 1,039$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.72 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Top Esports | 35c | 961$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.65 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Top Esports | 35c | 906.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.96 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus Gaming | 65c | 777$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.05 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Top Esports | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Top Esports | 35c | 674.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Top Esports | 28c | 424.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Invictus Gaming | 65c | 399.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 359.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 338.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Top Esports | 34c | 323$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Top Esports | 35c | 290.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 284.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Top Esports | 35c | 205.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Top Esports | 35c | 205.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Top Esports | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…31e6backed Top Esports | 35c | 185.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Top Esports | 34c | 151.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Invictus Gaming | 49c | 99.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Invictus Gaming | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Top Esports | 36c | 79.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 78.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 66.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…23a0backed Top Esports | 35c | 59.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…6c45backed Top Esports | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…7527backed Top Esports | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 52.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports | 29c | 52.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Top Esports | 35c | 46.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Top Esports | 35c | 37.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed Top Esports | 35c | 37.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Top Esports | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 32.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…7059backed Top Esports | 39c | 31.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 30.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…8bd9backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Invictus Gaming | 58c | 29.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 29.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Top Esports | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…a265backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 28.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…5c00backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 26.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 21.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 416 | 60.1%250 W · 166 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 19.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Top Esports | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.