Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x411be72d490a2ab42f2deca30260490a4f4616ddad5fd0203f3ec5af1d7c1866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Over | 0c | 17,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 833.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 719.77$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.69 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 48c | 606.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 587.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ae…2645backed Under | 52c | 418.19$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…32a3backed Over | 49c | 408.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 49c | 316.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 13c | 299.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 58c | 287.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Over | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 50c | 241.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 48c | 237.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Over | 50c | 235.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Over | 49c | 194.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 56c | 146.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 16c | 110.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 56c | 87.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 49c | 86.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Under | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 81.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 45c | 59.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed Under | 52c | 43.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Over | 48c | 40.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 51c | 32.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 51c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…a515backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.