CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x030f7d6618b134b92a86574fbaf24acb991c9138e09ba6578914d5630040b3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XI Esportof NEW VISION, XI Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed XI Esport | 46c | 848.73$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed NEW VISION | 61c | 425.9$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked XI Esport | 38c | 344.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed XI Esport | 30c | 305$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NEW VISION | 53c | 276.19$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NEW VISION | 58c | 197$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 162.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed NEW VISION | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked XI Esport | 38c | 132.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 55c | 111.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked NEW VISION | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NEW VISION | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed XI Esport | 48c | 80.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked XI Esport | 27c | 64.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION | 55c | 57.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed NEW VISION | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed NEW VISION | 61c | 48.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NEW VISION | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3fbcbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked XI Esport | 40c | 43.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsXI Esport won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 2 WinnerXI Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)XI Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.