CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3f7a78c0b327169c609bf379271648aecb4f15734ced967d5caa3b3f31a511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XI Esportof NEW VISION, XI Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NEW VISION | 42c | 1,147$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed XI Esport | 50c | 617.87$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 588.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed XI Esport | 56c | 514.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed XI Esport | 59c | 386$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked XI Esport | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed NEW VISION | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 240.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed XI Esport | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed XI Esport | 54c | 181.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed XI Esport | 57c | 95.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked NEW VISION | 44c | 94.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed XI Esport | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed NEW VISION | 45c | 67.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed XI Esport | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed XI Esport | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed NEW VISION | 43c | 26.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsXI Esport won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 1 WinnerXI Esport won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 2 WinnerXI Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.