CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce31e8afd57c8975020ae5e9177e2f2142c39fbb42c845b92734b9259743083e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof AM Gaming, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AM Gaming | 12c | 15,291$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.75 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed AM Gaming | 7c | 1,740$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 1,179$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AM Gaming | 41c | 995.52$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed AM Gaming | 17c | 778.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 441.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed AM Gaming | 41c | 402.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AM Gaming | 26c | 297.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed AM Gaming | 40c | 167.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed AM Gaming | 32c | 157.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…9a77backed AM Gaming | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed AM Gaming | 34c | 130.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 104.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed AM Gaming | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c1…275ebacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 88.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed AM Gaming | 23c | 65.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 42.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 32.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.