Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07fa6a855865f4e0a9a8ad42ab6747321ac47bbcf120b110f485e62a2ae43069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rising Gamingof New Meta, Rising Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6665…a37cbacked New Meta | 27c | 3,144$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Rising Gaming | 73c | 2,800$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed New Meta | 31c | 1,259$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Rising Gaming | 74c | 810$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed New Meta | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…2d2dbacked New Meta | 26c | 730$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked New Meta | 35c | 539$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed New Meta | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed New Meta | 17c | 296.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed New Meta | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…7e00backed Rising Gaming | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Meta | 34c | 188.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed New Meta | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed New Meta | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Rising Gaming | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed New Meta | 21c | 112.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…3109backed New Meta | 44c | 108.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Rising Gaming | 75c | 95.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed New Meta | 14c | 89.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed New Meta | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…35b1backed New Meta | 30c | 37.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…bc9dbacked New Meta | 33c | 32.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Rising Gaming | 75c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…ba2bbacked Rising Gaming | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Rising Gaming | 77c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: RG (-1.5) vs New Meta (+1.5)New Meta won
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNew Meta won
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRising Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.