Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc714b35c1758d7bae6a8588bbc6f45bbf3431e1f716b5026233df440c370fca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Metaof New Meta, Rising Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6665…a37cbacked New Meta | 37c | 22,028$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,852.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…2d2dbacked New Meta | 38c | 12,740$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,924.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Rising Gaming | 59c | 11,499$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,804.18 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed New Meta | 62c | 7,951$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 7,200$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked New Meta | 47c | 5,233$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed New Meta | 49c | 2,051$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed New Meta | 68c | 2,042$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.47 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed New Meta | 69c | 1,955$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.8 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked New Meta | 52c | 1,878$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rising Gaming | 45c | 1,775$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.68 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 1,557$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.95 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Rising Gaming | 65c | 1,540$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed New Meta | 66c | 1,309$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Rising Gaming | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Rising Gaming | 46c | 977.53$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked New Meta | 39c | 911$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rising Gaming | 61c | 900$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rising Gaming | 35c | 750$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Rising Gaming | 48c | 616.89$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rising Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rising Gaming | 45c | 491.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Rising Gaming | 58c | 405.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed New Meta | 78c | 340$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Rising Gaming | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…b1e7backed Rising Gaming | 42c | 254.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rising Gaming | 58c | 235.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rising Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Rising Gaming | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Rising Gaming | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rising Gaming | 32c | 134.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked New Meta | 43c | 132.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 132$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked New Meta | 80c | 125.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Rising Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Rising Gaming | 44c | 97.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Rising Gaming | 33c | 97.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Rising Gaming | 60c | 87.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed New Meta | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Meta | 79c | 69.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Rising Gaming | 55c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed New Meta | 57c | 51.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Rising Gaming | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 49.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Rising Gaming | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Rising Gaming | 32c | 46.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed New Meta | 55c | 44.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Rising Gaming | 33c | 39.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Rising Gaming | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rising Gaming | 52c | 32.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Rising Gaming | 61c | 27.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked New Meta | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RG (-1.5) vs New Meta (+1.5)New Meta won
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonRising Gaming won
- LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRising Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.