TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5340…ba2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.83
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.47
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.69
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Dbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.33
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.21
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$11.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$23.89
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$15.26
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$31.84
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked Rising Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.33
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.33
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squirebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.