TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, KeepBest Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c36…9433backed KeepBest Gaming27c2,761$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.570%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nova Esports71c1,763$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed KeepBest Gaming25c1,337$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.175349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nova Esports72c1,293$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f1…7b69backed KeepBest Gaming1c1,270$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nova Esports71c1,099$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7841537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked KeepBest Gaming25c992.58$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2329733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked KeepBest Gaming24c804$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.611050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked KeepBest Gaming2c752.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed KeepBest Gaming44c713.06$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked KeepBest Gaming32c673.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.518950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nova Esports71c571.36$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.533540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed KeepBest Gaming24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed KeepBest Gaming4c492.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9370%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked KeepBest Gaming19c486.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6510237.3%38 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked KeepBest Gaming23c464.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.793423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Nova Esports75c448$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed KeepBest Gaming26c424.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed KeepBest Gaming26c422.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.847347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed KeepBest Gaming28c421.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1188538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Nova Esports72c421.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Nova Esports75c398$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Nova Esports77c342.54$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3113449.3%66 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Nova Esports71c333$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Nova Esports74c270.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked KeepBest Gaming5c248.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9715217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nova Esports75c237$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2533942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed KeepBest Gaming51c236.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nova Esports66c229.29$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9614938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Nova Esports73c211.03$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0418261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked KeepBest Gaming26c204.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.143467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Nova Esports74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.710844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed Nova Esports79c195.82$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8212755.9%71 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed KeepBest Gaming23c183$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4627145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KeepBest Gaming20c163.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports60c161.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9907…1b67backed KeepBest Gaming26c158.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked KeepBest Gaming21c157.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7160154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports65c157.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3744342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked KeepBest Gaming12c152.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KeepBest Gaming43c147.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.021,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed Nova Esports74c135.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KeepBest Gaming38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nova Esports73c123.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4837545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c4…9b44backed Nova Esports78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nova Esports74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.233753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KeepBest Gaming25c119.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked KeepBest Gaming26c102.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.698736.8%32 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed KeepBest Gaming27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed KeepBest Gaming23c93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.396344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed KeepBest Gaming16c87.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed KeepBest Gaming30c84.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3319337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked KeepBest Gaming25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked KeepBest Gaming28c79.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.434443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Nova Esports72c78.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.975341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed KeepBest Gaming27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207530.7%23 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Nova Esports73c73.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.797855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KeepBest Gaming39c64.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6719…76e8backed KeepBest Gaming47c64.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1179…8bc2backed Nova Esports75c63.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b10…523bbacked Nova Esports60c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.253751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed KeepBest Gaming40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.823644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Nova Esports54c56.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8126758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked KeepBest Gaming24c44.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5220439.2%80 W · 124 L-18.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Nova Esports68c43.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9823836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Nova Esports75c42.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked KeepBest Gaming39c40.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5215754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…6af5backed KeepBest Gaming25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed KeepBest Gaming28c39.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2340944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Nova Esports76c39.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KeepBest Gaming40c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked Nova Esports56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1618457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…3831backed Nova Esports69c35.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nova Esports75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked KeepBest Gaming43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Nova Esports75c29.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.323148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Nova Esports44c27.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2224032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5340…ba2bbacked Nova Esports65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Nova Esports74c20.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2227360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Nova Esports68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0831046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3006…2c59backed Nova Esports75c14.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-83.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.