CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27cc2ca06606bdf713d1e4a001cf41a7bcdf7c76a8669c0b18e8a650cce1c1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbc9…63d3backed FORZE Reload | 0c | 7,260$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 2,014$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.89 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 60c | 1,788$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked FORZE Reload | 38c | 1,400$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Phantom | 59c | 1,362$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.21 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 426.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked FORZE Reload | 35c | 400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…57c9backed Phantom | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Phantom | 62c | 109.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Phantom | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Phantom | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Phantom | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 68.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Phantom | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 37.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 34.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 33.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked FORZE Reload | 44c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Phantom | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Phantom | 53c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Phantom | 67c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 25.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Phantom | 57c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.