Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83be2c8b4ffb2e4027a34d2360a19b68d65b51ab480ddbd7a9b77fa9efb36f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Dignitas, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Dignitas | 3c | 6,237$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 76c | 5,891$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.31 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…895dbacked Dignitas | 16c | 5,241$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.33 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 73c | 3,588$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.32 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Dignitas | 47c | 3,207$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.9 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised | 50c | 3,062$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.22 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas | 27c | 2,438$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas | 36c | 2,266$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.07 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dignitas | 46c | 2,210$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.7 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Disguised | 56c | 2,116$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.09 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Dignitas | 19c | 2,049$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.93 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas | 41c | 1,943$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.91 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 51c | 1,599$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.39 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 52c | 1,507$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.53 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed Disguised | 65c | 1,440$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.73 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Dignitas | 49c | 1,260$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.34 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised | 56c | 1,243$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.93 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Disguised | 56c | 1,208$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.66 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas | 49c | 1,175$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.55 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Disguised | 70c | 1,159$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.97 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dignitas | 39c | 1,132$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.54 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Disguised | 73c | 1,116$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.13 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Dignitas | 50c | 1,021$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.42 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas | 50c | 970.88$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.44 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Dignitas | 36c | 959.63$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.83 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Dignitas | 44c | 925.54$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.23 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Disguised | 57c | 826.29$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas | 30c | 808.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Dignitas | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed Dignitas | 4c | 795.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Dignitas | 35c | 790.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Dignitas | 7c | 778.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Dignitas | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dignitas | 50c | 686.1$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Disguised | 72c | 678.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Dignitas | 32c | 670.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Disguised | 56c | 666.81$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.71 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Dignitas | 58c | 655.5$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.47 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas | 44c | 622.22$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Dignitas | 43c | 592.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Dignitas | 38c | 564.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dignitas | 44c | 556.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Dignitas | 54c | 540.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dignitas | 31c | 529.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Dignitas | 44c | 520.54$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Disguised | 54c | 499.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Disguised | 66c | 499.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Dignitas | 44c | 492.79$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Dignitas | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Dignitas | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Disguised | 51c | 390.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised | 60c | 381.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 68c | 365.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dignitas | 17c | 363.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Dignitas | 24c | 360.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised | 44c | 345.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas | 46c | 333.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Disguised | 64c | 330.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 42c | 306.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Dignitas | 48c | 302.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Disguised | 50c | 289.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised | 50c | 278.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Dignitas | 17c | 264.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed Dignitas | 48c | 261.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Disguised | 42c | 251.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Disguised | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 57c | 247.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Dignitas | 37c | 236.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Dignitas | 20c | 213.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Dignitas | 46c | 212.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Dignitas | 33c | 208.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Dignitas | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Dignitas | 37c | 197.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Dignitas | 49c | 189.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Dignitas | 52c | 189.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dignitas | 49c | 188.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Dignitas | 43c | 185.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Disguised | 54c | 178$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…d29cbacked Disguised | 66c | 153.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Disguised | 67c | 150.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Dignitas | 40c | 150.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Disguised | 53c | 146.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Dignitas | 49c | 145.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Dignitas | 45c | 139.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Disguised | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Disguised | 51c | 118.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Dignitas | 34c | 118.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dignitas | 24c | 117.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Dignitas | 20c | 117.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Dignitas | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Disguised | 49c | 99.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Dignitas | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas | 55c | 90.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Disguised | 54c | 90.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed Disguised | 54c | 90.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsDisguised won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.