TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Dignitas, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Dignitas43c18,489$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.1731328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas43c17,789$7,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,668.51,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Dignitas43c13,111$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.7296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Disguised57c9,150$5,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.7259450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Disguised56c8,000$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48043442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Disguised57c4,499$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.6270456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Disguised56c4,193$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9437245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Disguised57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.938458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Disguised69c3,976$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.971,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Disguised79c3,368$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.0378050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised59c2,900$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.8296250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dignitas37c2,417$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.1267931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Dignitas21c2,042$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.762055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Disguised57c2,009$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8647338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Disguised56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9795…1b84backed Dignitas14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised64c1,893$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dignitas47c1,758$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.451,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised57c1,752$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.371,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Disguised57c1,731$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.5310648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked Disguised58c1,691$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Dignitas21c1,500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x955c…ce96backed Dignitas44c1,372$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.374641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Dignitas43c1,352$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4142050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Dignitas44c1,317$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3814336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Disguised57c1,266$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5811936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Disguised57c1,169$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6930050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Disguised56c1,150$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1713933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas34c1,051$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised57c1,025$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Disguised57c1,023$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8532542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…c745backed Dignitas21c1,015$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Disguised56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408934.8%31 W · 58 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Disguised55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fab…afd6backed Disguised56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6a…be7ebacked Dignitas43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas45c967$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1583560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dignitas22c962.29$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.71,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised56c844.37$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.599338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.111,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Dignitas43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Dignitas35c720.73$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6633040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Dignitas45c696.24$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.311,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised57c688$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8890537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Disguised57c683.24$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7943442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Disguised58c680.68$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8917041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Disguised58c672.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3622757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Dignitas44c653.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5724741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Disguised53c637.36$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1533857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Disguised74c594.29$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0494444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas43c579.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.42,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Disguised55c555.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8414761.2%90 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed Dignitas4c550.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5422932.3%74 W · 155 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised64c546.58$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.192,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Dignitas43c500.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.421553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Dignitas10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Disguised57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154139%16 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21517431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Disguised57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21515821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Disguised78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Disguised57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0851…1de8backed Dignitas44c499.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Disguised57c499.87$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.441,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Dignitas44c483.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Dignitas40c478.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3346841.7%195 W · 273 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas36c443.51$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.633,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dignitas31c426.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Disguised68c379.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.571,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Disguised57c334.49$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8342941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Disguised79c332.47$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8218254.9%100 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Disguised55c316.69$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.518743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised56c314.68$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4647933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Disguised56c311.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0826859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dignitas44c308.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3235243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Dignitas47c299.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3213137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Disguised57c294.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1820556.6%116 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Disguised55c292.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.81,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Disguised57c273.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5928150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Disguised56c260.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7515747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Disguised55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Disguised57c235.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1796054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dignitas43c235$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0511443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Disguised62c234.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7736047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Disguised56c225$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3140145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511b…c8f6backed Disguised60c224.15$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Dignitas45c216.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6819941.7%83 W · 116 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Dignitas22c215.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3630632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Disguised74c198.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3749841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Dignitas45c195.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.732245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Disguised56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6886649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Dignitas18c194.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3946436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Dignitas45c193.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.918434.5%29 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Dignitas22c178.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.294231%13 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Dignitas45c176.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9514154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Dignitas22c176.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7714132.6%46 W · 95 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Dignitas44c175.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.314240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Dignitas44c175.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.312445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Disguised57c171.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6624759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Disguised57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.493046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.