TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Dignitas, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b75…3fd1backed Dignitas0c48,463$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Dignitas34c22,716$7,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,821.4331328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Disguised57c7,853$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.311060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised77c5,107$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Dignitas1c3,734$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dignitas41c2,946$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.8746637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised62c2,647$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.391,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dignitas42c2,500$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.0896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised62c2,310$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.461,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Dignitas41c2,171$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.5375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Dignitas44c2,159$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.1512349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised59c1,951$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8389943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Disguised56c1,947$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.771,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised56c1,922$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.631,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dignitas9c1,876$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised59c1,818$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.321,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Dignitas12c1,745$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7123624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Dignitas43c1,615$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Disguised56c1,592$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.951,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Dignitas29c1,441$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6254246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas41c1,356$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.373,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Dignitas43c1,180$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised59c1,154$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised56c1,079$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Dignitas44c1,052$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Disguised55c1,046$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.861,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Disguised80c988$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.61,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Dignitas27c866.15$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.91,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised61c792.16$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.731,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised66c722.48$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6426443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas44c644.83$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.722,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Disguised61c644.58$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0379151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dignitas27c605.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.751,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised59c560$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Dignitas3c509.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2245937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Disguised58c506.24$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised79c500.03$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.071,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Disguised54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dignitas43c499.92$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9764749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Disguised62c485.89$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5643358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed Disguised60c451.76$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.918458.3%49 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Disguised59c431.08$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6442847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Disguised68c428.61$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5632160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Dignitas45c415.15$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dignitas38c410.07$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.321,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Disguised59c312.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0376953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised57c306.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6617431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Dignitas36c296.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6346841.7%195 W · 273 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80b…704dbacked Disguised58c283.28$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.361540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Disguised59c279.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.036549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dignitas32c269.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5599338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Dignitas43c255.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.897533.3%25 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce12…814fbacked Disguised78c253.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.733268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Dignitas37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32c…d29cbacked Disguised63c249.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.434658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Dignitas34c247.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.061,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised56c243.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.11,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Disguised56c243.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.126859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…1ee8backed Disguised56c230$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.212133.1%40 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Dignitas44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas39c218.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.32,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Dignitas8c217.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.384647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Disguised68c216.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2342852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Dignitas45c214.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.726150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed Disguised58c214.46$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0711464.9%74 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Disguised63c206.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4310350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Disguised60c197.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0511127.9%31 W · 80 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dignitas44c173.34$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2711443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Dignitas40c172.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.087332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Disguised57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4916851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dignitas24c166.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.692,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Dignitas44c164.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4811443.9%50 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Disguised61c162.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7828638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Disguised57c161.64$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706850%34 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955c…ce96backed Disguised65c160.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.094641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Disguised62c136.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5614336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x136b…7d46backed Dignitas43c130.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Disguised56c128$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3239851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Dignitas17c123.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Dignitas45c123.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Dignitas31c115.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6733737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…3a5dbacked Dignitas43c112.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.281850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked Dignitas44c111.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.135543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Disguised57c102.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8828246.5%131 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Disguised57c100.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.416352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked Disguised69c100.12$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4415556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x337e…9b4ebacked Disguised72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2832554.8%178 W · 147 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Disguised78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.716382.5%52 W · 11 L+11.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Dignitas41c95.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8455347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Disguised58c86.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3966…c918backed Disguised56c86.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.694161%25 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd989…dcbabacked Disguised68c84.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3616863.7%107 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Disguised58c84.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.613237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5114…fc31backed Disguised70c84.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.254052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Disguised79c75.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1536946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Disguised79c70.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8132566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Disguised57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.479864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Dignitas42c67.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Dignitas41c64.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1536047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.