Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161aec3391b97bd70e5d04e84d31ab5f11c1d70a4cb765ea398b7abcc1c97809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed MVK Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed MVK Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed MVK Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Secret Whales | 76c | 960.56$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 189 | 53.4%101 W · 88 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked MVK Esports | 25c | 790$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 772$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MVK Esports | 18c | 749.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MVK Esports | 5c | 673.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed MVK Esports | 24c | 610$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed MVK Esports | 15c | 602.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 459.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 415$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked MVK Esports | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed MVK Esports | 6c | 399.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked MVK Esports | 19c | 355.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MVK Esports | 16c | 342.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed MVK Esports | 18c | 312$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked MVK Esports | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MVK Esports | 22c | 288.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MVK Esports | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MVK Esports | 26c | 238.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 207.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MVK Esports | 22c | 203$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Secret Whales | 69c | 171.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…8e98backed MVK Esports | 33c | 150.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Team Secret Whales | 73c | 136.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed MVK Esports | 24c | 119$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…9393backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked MVK Esports | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…2385backed MVK Esports | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 68.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked MVK Esports | 21c | 67.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed MVK Esports | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Secret Whales | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 54.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…3b01backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 52.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked MVK Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 73c | 41.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MVK Esports | 30c | 34.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed MVK Esports | 31c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 235 | 59.6%140 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Secret Whales | 70c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Secret Whales | 70c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.