Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b007de4ad119a55e987aa1f0963a12feeaed345a3af34544941e7a6a8cbc27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No | 59c | 60,845$35,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,910.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 22,221$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.02 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 15,573$7,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 6c | 12,491$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.14 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 53c | 10,250$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.5 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 9,920$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.37 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked No | 49c | 9,687$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 48c | 8,800$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 64c | 8,524$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.78 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 23c | 8,514$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.15 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 6,808$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 46c | 6,665$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 47c | 6,200$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.9 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 5,653$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.32 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 5,544$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,430$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.4 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 46c | 4,318$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 50c | 3,461$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.28 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 34c | 3,236$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.59 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 43c | 3,102$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.32 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 56c | 2,675$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.42 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 58c | 2,663$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.23 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 2,485$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.4 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 23c | 2,381$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.32 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 44c | 2,227$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.44 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.97 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 45c | 2,097$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed No | 47c | 2,014$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.79 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 53c | 1,592$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.28 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Yes | 24c | 1,589$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.93 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,450$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.49 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 46c | 1,447$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 1,402$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 54c | 1,365$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 48c | 1,298$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.29 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 48c | 1,194$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 48c | 1,144$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 34c | 1,090$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…b25bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked No | 70c | 967.62$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.41 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…809abacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 52c | 926.92$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 921.82$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.52 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 31c | 909.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.93 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…08b4backed Yes | 57c | 873.03$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.29 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…0ed7backed Yes | 23c | 851.39$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 39c | 838.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…25bebacked Yes | 68c | 823.55$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +795.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 44c | 803.76$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes | 43c | 799.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 51c | 799.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…363dbacked Yes | 53c | 790.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 67c | 750$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 51c | 725.73$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes | 53c | 713.21$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…9ef0backed No | 48c | 701.27$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed No | 47c | 634.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 631.71$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 55c | 626.18$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.78 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 48c | 593.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.11 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…6347backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…7cb6backed Yes | 53c | 556.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 51c | 554.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Yes | 50c | 502.43$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked Yes | 65c | 500.38$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad8…c605backed Yes | 47c | 493.13$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 53c | 465$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.