TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No59c60,845$35,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,910.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No47c22,221$10,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,444.0221836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes50c15,573$7,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,791.071,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No6c12,491$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.147040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes53c10,250$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.58435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c9,920$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,761.3774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked No49c9,687$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.47545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No48c8,800$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,22414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No64c8,524$5,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,432.7813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes23c8,514$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,556.1514856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No51c6,808$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No46c6,665$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.117337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No47c6,200$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.99161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c5,653$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.3216835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c5,544$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes52c4,430$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.49627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No46c4,318$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.581450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes50c3,461$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.281,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes34c3,236$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.596434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes43c3,102$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.3216042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes50c3,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3807729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.974949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes56c2,675$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.4211038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Yes58c2,663$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.2315745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No47c2,485$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes23c2,381$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3220245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes44c2,227$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.4410537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9712047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No45c2,097$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.551540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed No47c2,014$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.794261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes23c1,739$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.131,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1117944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes53c1,592$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.286139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes24c1,589$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.936855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73511343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes52c1,450$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.4930214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No46c1,447$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No43c1,402$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.82,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes54c1,365$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.554634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No48c1,298$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.299767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Yes52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5762548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked No48c1,194$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.334844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No48c1,144$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5472466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes34c1,090$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.984748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked No48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52020448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No70c967.62$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.413528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5425537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0405…809abacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Yes52c926.92$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.939161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No79c921.82$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.5214763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes31c909.6$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9323427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…08b4backed Yes57c873.03$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.293622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Yes23c851.39$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.571866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes39c838.81$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.041,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0508…25bebacked Yes68c823.55$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick39cpaid+795.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No44c803.76$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6537959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37618929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes43c799.99$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4547143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes51c799.98$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d4…363dbacked Yes53c790.57$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.58148.1%39 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No67c750$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.518848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes51c725.73$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35713268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes53c713.21$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.212763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22df…9ef0backed No48c701.27$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3297335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed No47c634.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No54c631.71$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.872,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes55c626.18$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7814148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed No9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No48c593.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.119238%35 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2416319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0412958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0411641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…7cb6backed Yes53c556.02$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.335750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.568444%37 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes51c554.21$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.224348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes53c528.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Yes50c502.43$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.263148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Yes65c500.38$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.466250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23516152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Yes55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9926836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfad8…c605backed Yes47c493.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.132166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.773735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes53c465$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5519748.7%96 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.