Fifa International · resolved market
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x708409f76d2fcdc0e78feb4f0297336eb28d2bcccd806f3b161b067efcc58fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 2,087$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.73 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 13c | 1,833$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.72 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 15c | 1,662$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.74 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 16c | 1,218$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.03 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 677.62$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 12c | 571$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed Yes | 16c | 429.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.47 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 6c | 383.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 74c | 379.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 303.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 18c | 292.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.53 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 15c | 286.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 13c | 281.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 260.57$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed No | 25c | 236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9ed6backed Yes | 16c | 225.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 15c | 204.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 18c | 203.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…344dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 16c | 147.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…c84bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 16c | 107.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 27c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…3c36backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…17b4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.