Fifa International · resolved market
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e44d52954cd25d70fc1d95e872b4ca3180a4303db38817de5f0a1a11725a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,400$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.1 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.67 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 14c | 1,016$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yes | 14c | 510$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 14c | 507.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.14 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 67c | 481.16$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…790cbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…ae8ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 14c | 228.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…7f81backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 18c | 106.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…37afbacked Yes | 14c | 83.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.