TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes13c3,400$442 inLost-$44236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes15c1,427$220 inLost-$22027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes14c750$105 inLost-$1053053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes15c486.67$73 inLost-$735733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Yes10c350$35 inLost-$35825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes13c251.94$33 inLost-$334020%8 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes10c243.69$25 inLost-$257412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Yes14c200$28 inLost-$282152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1926…7f27backed Yes14c164.29$23 inLost-$233647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes12c150.27$18 inLost-$1823528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$1534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost-$1510435.6%37 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724d…e4dabacked Yes14c78.57$11 inLost-$112365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.