TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c3,302$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes18c2,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…23abbacked Yes18c1,800$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes18c1,750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes18c1,726$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes19c1,573$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.831735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efd…c159backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes19c1,122$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2110819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…a1eebacked Yes8c962$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15218929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4363…8209backed Yes20c713.65$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c57dbacked Yes11c676.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes20c615$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12311436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No77c603.69$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.839563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf869…e2b4backed Yes20c601$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.22850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes18c554.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes19c534.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.637729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes19c515.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…7de2backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes18c475.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.683857.9%22 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes19c465.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.534533.3%15 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…60bcbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes18c447.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1635…26bfbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No77c394.01$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2116946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yes18c393.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.628725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes9c380.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.859129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012527.2%34 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes15c323.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes18c304.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.736729.9%20 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd59…0a77backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaa…8b07backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes19c268.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes19c265$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51be…2df3backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371d…11babacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370a…2666backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa8…3b91backed Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455745.6%26 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes17c243.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes17c242.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.259819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes16c223.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.821,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes18c213.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3823729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03da…bb36backed Yes18c202.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610726.2%28 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a78…acfcbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab7…6872backed Yes23c199.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613351.1%68 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Yes6c185$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.357745.5%35 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0726…2c45backed Yes11c184.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2e…193bbacked Yes12c171.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked Yes19c169.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0923145.9%106 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157e…2efbbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308320.5%17 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341f…0442backed Yes15c165.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515020%30 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020932.5%68 W · 141 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes22c140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.846319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252814.3%4 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…42fabacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes19c132.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1319031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick15cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…d6bcbacked Yes16c126.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf150…b6ffbacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254650%23 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdc7…1483backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes11c119.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes19c113.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209146.2%42 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd893…cdcfbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204827.1%13 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.