Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7287105043e1102bd1aa38288de7696096fb27337b9db364ea5831851a8a1719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 3,302$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…23abbacked Yes | 18c | 1,800$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 1,726$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…2112backed Yes | 19c | 1,573$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 19c | 1,122$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…a1eebacked Yes | 8c | 962$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…8209backed Yes | 20c | 713.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c57dbacked Yes | 11c | 676.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 20c | 615$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 77c | 603.69$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…e2b4backed Yes | 20c | 601$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 18c | 554.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 19c | 534.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 19c | 515.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…7de2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…efe5backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 73 | 15.1%11 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes | 18c | 475.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes | 19c | 465.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…60bcbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 18c | 447.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…26bfbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 77c | 394.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 18c | 393.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes | 9c | 380.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 15c | 323.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 18c | 304.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…0a77backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…8b07backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…2df3backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371d…11babacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…2666backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…3b91backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 17c | 243.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 17c | 242.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 16c | 223.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…22a5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 18c | 213.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…bb36backed Yes | 18c | 202.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…acfcbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…6872backed Yes | 23c | 199.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Yes | 6c | 185$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…2c45backed Yes | 11c | 184.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…193bbacked Yes | 12c | 171.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Yes | 19c | 169.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 15c | 165.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…42fabacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 19c | 132.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…746fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…d6bcbacked Yes | 16c | 126.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf150…b6ffbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…1483backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes | 11c | 119.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 19c | 113.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd893…cdcfbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.