Fifa International · resolved market
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d58a0dafb8396a35eff5fc8cf49e8b7e50ff155d0ea361a40adb4415f2bd2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 1,111$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 74c | 795.37$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 26c | 523$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 24c | 327.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 26c | 290$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 76c | 117.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 36.4%63 W · 110 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed No | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…5b8fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evann Guessand: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.