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Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolster Challengersof T1 Academy, KT Rolster Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1822…0e6abacked T1 Academy10c7,275$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.46437%3 W · 40 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T1 Academy59c4,536$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.326360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked KT Rolster Challengers40c3,161$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.6177131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed KT Rolster Challengers52c2,910$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3903,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed T1 Academy6c2,522$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7410030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed T1 Academy52c1,617$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84081333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked T1 Academy30c1,561$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8959952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked T1 Academy30c1,539$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3824529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked T1 Academy60c1,510$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.618258.8%107 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed KT Rolster Challengers70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.41560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed KT Rolster Challengers71c1,415$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed KT Rolster Challengers41c1,411$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.3942735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed T1 Academy1c1,350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed KT Rolster Challengers70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36048548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked KT Rolster Challengers45c1,113$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.533542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T1 Academy31c1,063$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.861,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…1ef6backed T1 Academy63c946.05$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed T1 Academy33c899.55$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.925236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed T1 Academy39c815.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.259151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed T1 Academy25c787.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3312452.4%65 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed KT Rolster Challengers40c750$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked KT Rolster Challengers74c748.73$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed KT Rolster Challengers64c724.39$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3231153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked KT Rolster Challengers68c666.85$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154045%18 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed KT Rolster Challengers57c640.64$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked KT Rolster Challengers41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7611146.8%52 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KT Rolster Challengers71c563.92$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.882,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked T1 Academy16c516.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6331435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…1d29backed T1 Academy63c510.07$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd7…215ebacked T1 Academy36c500.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f67…da0ebacked T1 Academy60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed KT Rolster Challengers38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9927452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed KT Rolster Challengers41c499.91$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.951,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed KT Rolster Challengers64c491.25$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8554353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50de…fff1backed T1 Academy39c477.39$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6152…d8f3backed KT Rolster Challengers45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…ded5backed KT Rolster Challengers42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4777…1e79backed T1 Academy55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed T1 Academy25c398.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005028%14 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed KT Rolster Challengers71c349.75$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1644470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed KT Rolster Challengers51c319.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.470443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed T1 Academy31c317.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked KT Rolster Challengers41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed KT Rolster Challengers41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1773966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e37…356fbacked T1 Academy58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed T1 Academy18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e3…77e0backed KT Rolster Challengers42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9125…edd3backed T1 Academy60c277.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.131540%6 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster Challengers62c275.47$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.681,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed KT Rolster Challengers41c274$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed KT Rolster Challengers57c272.44$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2416934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked KT Rolster Challengers58c262.9$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.879741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed T1 Academy34c261$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7453047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed T1 Academy60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked KT Rolster Challengers69c244.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9514153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked T1 Academy52c243.96$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2836331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed KT Rolster Challengers43c242.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7721857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T1 Academy62c240.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2367276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd2cb…b5a0backed KT Rolster Challengers70c218.55$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed KT Rolster Challengers41c195.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8235035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed T1 Academy60c190$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411656%65 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x471c…d89fbacked T1 Academy31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed T1 Academy62c156.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8558346.7%272 W · 311 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed KT Rolster Challengers69c145.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed KT Rolster Challengers71c139.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874729.8%14 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked KT Rolster Challengers69c131.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.467558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed T1 Academy34c121.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed KT Rolster Challengers39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+52.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T1 Academy34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked T1 Academy34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402520%5 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed T1 Academy55c114.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5a…ebfebacked T1 Academy65c113.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.871650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed T1 Academy62c113.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4419559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6bb…d732backed KT Rolster Challengers63c111.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112157.1%12 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed T1 Academy31c110.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed T1 Academy38c106.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.014654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed T1 Academy32c106.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6112433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed KT Rolster Challengers67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked T1 Academy60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f6…f506backed KT Rolster Challengers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed T1 Academy60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked T1 Academy34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6089…00e2backed T1 Academy30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed KT Rolster Challengers41c99.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0614763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed KT Rolster Challengers46c98.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8450643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked KT Rolster Challengers41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5621840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf195…66e2backed KT Rolster Challengers41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KT Rolster Challengers46c96.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0395551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed T1 Academy64c96.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.96939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked T1 Academy35c92.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0917132.2%55 W · 116 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3094…d467backed T1 Academy33c90.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8f…74b5backed T1 Academy63c81.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.156349.2%31 W · 32 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked T1 Academy33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.975639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T1 Academy52c62.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked T1 Academy33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90db…b7aebacked T1 Academy59c58.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…5403backed KT Rolster Challengers60c58.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.976561.5%40 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked T1 Academy34c55.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9922840.8%93 W · 135 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed T1 Academy36c52.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked T1 Academy43c50.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.573729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.