Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Martin Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7accfa01d0b10938ac9da46aa0fb1a17f9e7830d230bbf554a3169d4d802e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Tseng, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tseng | 41c | 797$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tseng | 18c | 637.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Landaluce | 66c | 356.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed Landaluce | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Tseng | 20c | 233.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Tseng | 28c | 212$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Landaluce | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Landaluce | 70c | 189.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Tseng | 38c | 186.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Landaluce | 64c | 185.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tseng | 10c | 156.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Tseng | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Landaluce | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Tseng | 14c | 101.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Landaluce | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Tseng | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Landaluce | 58c | 80.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Landaluce | 79c | 79.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Landaluce | 68c | 73.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Landaluce | 58c | 50.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Landaluce | 68c | 49.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Martin Landalucethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tseng vs LandaluceLandaluce won
- Tseng vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tseng vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Tseng vs. Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.